Spain will be far from net zero emissions by 2050: this is what its energy mix will look like in 25 years’ time

For the first time in history, the consulting firm DNV makes a prediction about what the Spanish energy transition will be like

It is difficult to guess the future, not to say impossible, but it is possible to approach what can happen taking into account many, thousands or even millions of data, which you cross and give you an approximation. That is what the consulting firm DNV has done on the energy transition in Spain to 2050, whose first conclusion is that it will not be climate neutral by that time, as intended by the European Union and the Spanish government. A lot of progress is going to be made, but net-zero emissions will not be achieved. According to DNV, Spain is on track to reduce CO₂ emissions by 74% compared to 1990 levels by mid-century, this pace lagging behind the ambitious milestones outlined in the National Energy and Climate Plan (PNIEC). However, Spain’s short-term objectives remain challenging. The PNIEC target of a 32% reduction in greenhouse gas emissions by 2030 currently exceeds projected progress, with DNV forecasting a 13% reduction by that date. The real energy transition is yet to be made and will be carried out between 2030 and 2040, and in some cases it will not be fully achieved. “Spain has made remarkable progress in reducing emissions and leading in renewable energy,” said Santiago Blanco, Executive Vice President and Regional Director for Southern Europe, Energy Systems at DNV. “However, achieving the goal of net zero emissions requires an immediate scale-up of renewable energy deployment and infrastructure improvements.”

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